Wang Tao, UBS: It is expected that the Central Economic Work Conference will focus on the short-term policy package. Recently, the market highly expects the Central Economic Work Conference to guide the high-quality economic development of China next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research at UBS and chief China economist, said: "I expect that the Central Economic Work Conference may focus on the short-term policy package in 2025 and 2026, but it will also emphasize accelerating some reform measures already outlined at the Third Plenary Session." Wang Tao believes that the next important reform measures may include providing better protection and access for the private economy, deepening the reform of state-owned enterprises to improve efficiency and governance, promoting household registration reform to improve the welfare of migrant workers, strengthening the social security network, and carrying out fiscal and taxation reforms to solve local fiscal revenue problems. "I think structural, deeper and faster reforms will be very important, not only to attract foreign investment, but also to boost domestic confidence." (China Daily)Coal stocks fluctuated higher, with the daily limit of Antai Group in the afternoon, Anyuan Coal Industry rose more than 5%, and Orchid Science and Technology, Luan Huaneng, Gansu Nenghua, Baotailong, Dayou Energy and Shaanxi Black Cat followed suit.Canalys: It is estimated that the market size of generative AI will reach 72.8 billion dollars in 2029. According to Canalys' latest forecast, the global generative artificial intelligence (AI) market is still in its infancy, and it will grow fivefold in five years, from 14.6 billion dollars in 2024 to 72.8 billion dollars in 2029. Top applications include consumer, corporate services, retail, media and entertainment, and health care.
Zhuo Chuang Information: In December, the cost side kept moving down the soybean meal price or followed the seasonal decline law. According to Zhuo Chuang Information, looking back on the whole year of 2024, the center of gravity of soybean meal price showed a downward trend. In December, the price of Brazil's soybean premium was continuously lowered, and the spot price of soybean meal was further lowered under the pressure of the cost side. The problem of soybean customs clearance repeatedly traded in the market has limited impact on domestic supply, while the breeding end has started to slaughter one after another, which has a negative impact on the demand for soybean meal. Therefore, Zhuo Chuang Information predicts that the spot price of soybean meal may follow the seasonal law in December, showing a downward trend.IG Group: The market liquidity problem leads to the widening of the spread between gold and silver. The financial institution IG Group: The higher spread between gold and silver is due to the disconnection between the spot market and the futures market, which leads to the liquidity provider (LP) greatly expanding the spread. In order to maintain the availability of the transaction, we adjusted the maximum spread accordingly. This is the problem of the whole market, not just the problem of IG Group.Hainan Free Trade Zone concept changed partially. Hainan Ruize and Hainan Development both had daily limit, Hainan Ruize and Hainan Development both had daily limit, and Lishang Guochao, Hainan Haiyao, Hainan Expressway and Huawen Group followed suit.
Hang Seng Index fell 0.2%, led by Meituan. The Hang Seng Index fell 0.2% to 20,278.66 in Hong Kong for two consecutive days. Meituan dragged down the index the most, falling by 1.7%. Chuangke Industrial Co., Ltd. suffered the biggest decline, falling by 4.1%. In midday trading, 33 of the 83 stocks fell and 46 rose; Three of the four stocks fell, led by industrial and commercial stocks.Computing hardware rebounded after the Dragon Boat Festival, Woer nuclear materials hit the daily limit, computing hardware rebounded after the Dragon Boat Festival, Woer nuclear materials hit the daily limit, Zhaolong Interconnect rose by over 10%, and Xinyisheng, Shenyu, Chuangyitong and Quéven Technology all rose by over 5%.The chairman of Japan's trade union called on the government to speed up its efforts to raise wages, and the chairman of Japan's Metal Workers' Union urged the government to speed up the pace of wage increase, while expressing concern about the premature tightening measures taken by the Bank of Japan. Akihiro Kaneko, president of the Board of Directors of the Japan Metal Workers' Union, said that we need to see the situation improve this year when talking about the government's measures to help small and medium-sized enterprises pass on costs to consumers through the supply chain. If we put off this effort for five or ten years, there will never be any improvement. Kaneko's remarks come as Japan prepares for annual wage negotiations, which will culminate this spring. In next year's negotiations, the union announced a record target of a monthly salary increase of 12,000 yen (US$ 79) or more. Kaneko said that we need to send a clear message that our salary increase target (this year) is higher.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide